基于BP人工神经网络的滑坡预测分析

文章以汶川地震引发的滑坡为研究对象,以震中距、地震烈度、坡度、前缘高程、坡高和岩性等影响坡体稳定性的因素为切入点,利用BP人工神经网络对实际坡体的稳定性进行了预测分析。结果表明,BP人工神经网络方法能有效预测坡体的稳定情况。     

Foldable container in empty container repositioning in intermodal transportation network of Belt and Road Initiative: strengths and limitations

In 2013, the concept of the ‘Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road (Belt and Road)’ was initiated by the Chinese government, which involves Asian, European and African continents and their adjacent seas. Logistics plays a core role in such a large framework of economy and trade. In recent years, China, European Union, and Southeast Asia pay much attention to the design and development of the intermodal transportation network towards both economic and environmental efficiency. In this paper, we propose an empty container repositioning model in the intermodal transportation network of Belt and Road (B&R) Initiative by considering both standard and foldable containers. In this model, empty containers are repositioned from the inland of the original area, such as China, to other areas of B&R Initiative related countries and regions, such as European Union and Southeast Asia. We develop a mixed integer linear programming model to determine the optimal repositioning of empty containers via the intermodal transportation network. An Artificial Bee Colony algorithm is developed to solve large size problems in practice and numerical experiments are conducted to show the efficiency of our proposed algorithm. We provide managerial insights regarding the impact on the network performance of foldable containers transportation.     

港口岸线环境补偿人工沙滩工程理论与实践

依托港口岸线建设环境补偿人工沙滩工程是践行国家生态文明建设战略,实现港、城一体化发展的有益举措。针对人工沙滩建设中的理论和关键技术问题,通过自主研发,取得以下主要创新性成果:1)发展了沙、泥并存下沙滩动力地貌学基础理论;2)形成先进的数值、物理模拟技术;3)提出适用于各种复杂泥沙环境下的人工沙滩设计原则;4)研发了人工沙滩防侵蚀、防泥化的整治与养护措施。研究成果已成功应用于不同复杂泥沙环境下的实际沙滩工程中,实现了良好的经济、社会和生态环境效益,具有广阔的推广应用前景。     

基于神经网络对电控柴油机运行特性影响因素仿真研究

基于AVL-BOOST软件仿真平台建立某船用四缸柴油机仿真模型,标定后的模型进行柴油机全工况仿真计算.仿真出来的3 200组数据作为人工神经网络输入数据,采用贝叶斯统计方法对网络进行训练建立2层的反馈神经网络仿真模型.并分别通过实验、AVL-BOOST和神经网络数据曲线的对比分析,验证人工神经网络预测的准确性.利用验证好的人工神经网络模型预测进排气压力对柴油机转矩的影响,以及预测压缩比和供油定时对柴油机排放性能和动力性能的影响,最后利用扰动法分析不同工况下柴油机各个参数对柴油机性能的影响程度.     

我国船舶行业智能制造的新内涵与应用

加快推动新一代信息技术与先进船舶制造技术深度融合,将对我国船舶行业的发展带来重大影响.本文从分析智能制造的内涵人手,研究探索把人工智能、物联网、大数据、云计算等新技术与智能制造相融合的思路,尝试提出新一代信息技术条件下智能制造的新内涵,并对其在我国船舶行业的应用进行分析,进一步讨论目前发展所面临的问题,最后结合现状提出建议.     

The value of options for time charterparty extension: an artificial neural networks (ANN) approach

The most frequently associated options in the physical shipping market are options to extend the charter period on time charters and additional shipment options on contracts of affreightment. The value of freight options, in practice, is estimated mostly by referring to forward curves. An option on freight has different properties from its financial counterparts, and the straightforward adoption of theoretical models does not produce promising results. In this paper, extension options, which have the property of options on futures, were transformed into regular European options before the application of the Black-Scholes model (BSM). The efficient market hypothesis, which justifies the parity of the performance of a long-term charter to that of repetitive short-term charters, worked as the basis for the transformation. The option values determined by the BSM were compared with actual realized values. Additionally, the artificial neural networks (ANN) was employed to derive the option values. This study is meaningful as the first-time application of both the closed-form solution and the ANN to the valuation of physical freight options. The research results can contribute to the quality of chartering decisions. The results could also be used in quantifying credit risk, as extension options tend to be granted to charterers with more creditability.     

基于人工蜂群算法的船舶动力定位自抗扰控制器设计

针对船舶动力定位自抗扰控制器(ADRC)参数较多且人工不易调整的问题,通过建立以船舶纵荡、横荡和艏向角三个方向ADRC响应的时间误差积分和最小的目标函数,采用人工蜂群算法(ABC)中采蜜蜂和跟随蜂的选择机制与邻域搜索,优化整定出船舶动力定位ADRC控制器参数。ABC优化的方法避免了工程技术人员繁琐的试凑工作。此外,仿真结果表明,相比试凑法得出的参数而言,经过ABC优化整定的参数具有更快的响应速度,对船模参数变化具有更强的鲁棒性和适应性。     

人工砂用于北方水运工程混凝土的试验与应用

人工砂是由制砂设备筛分制成的粒径小于5 mm的岩石颗粒(但不包括软质岩、风化岩的颗粒),具有质量可控、稳定、颗粒坚硬等特点,经试验能满足北方水运工程混凝土的物理力学性能指标和抗冻融、抗氯离子渗透等耐久性指标的要求,在实际主体工程中应用效果较好。在天然砂日益缺乏及质量严重下滑的状况下,用人工砂取代或部分取代天然砂,可以缓解砂资源缺乏对工程进度、成本及质量的影响。     

港珠澳大桥珠澳口岸人工岛填海工程总平面优化设计

为降低港珠澳大桥珠澳口岸人工岛工可总平面布置的阻水率,巧妙利用澳门明珠陆域向东突出的地形地貌,调整珠海接线人工岛布置,使珠澳口岸人工岛的阻水横断面减少了37%,同时使珠海接线人工岛的费用减少、工期缩短、施工难度降低。港珠澳大桥珠澳口岸人工岛填海工程总平面因地制宜的优化设计思路及方法获得了初步设计专家评审会的肯定,可为类似河口区临近大陆人工岛平面布置提供有益的参考。     

岛礁地形下半潜平台水动力性能研究

文章基于一岛礁实地的地形数据,针对该地形下的半潜式平台进行了水动力及运动响应分析,重点研究了岛礁地形对平台运动响应的影响,并结合模型试验结果进行了对比分析。结果表明应用目前常用的以线性波浪理论为基础的数值方法,通过引入对地形与平台之间的绕射与辐射水动力的干扰计算,可以对岛礁地形下的半潜平台进行水动力和运动分析。研究所得到的岛礁条件下的平台运动响应结果与模型试验值对比较为吻合。